900 Main St · Roscoe, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.7/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
$86,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home has 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, 2 living areas (large den could be divided to create 3rd bedroom), dining room, kitchen with eating area, kitchen is open to dining room, house sits on corner lot, backyard has a 8X12 storage building, 15X30 shop with overhead door, water well on property (water well needs repair to electrical line), single car garage, additional parking pad for 2 vehicles. This property needs some repairs/updates and is priced to reflect this, being Sold AS IS. Call agent Michael Hammit to view (325) 235-1762
Key facts
- Water well
- Corner lot
- 0.28 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage with garage door opener; Attached garage; Parking pad; Open parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water: well, private, or public water available; Electricity connected / electric on property; Natural gas connected / natural gas available; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick veneer and other construction materials
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Corner lot; Level lot; Back yard fencing (chain link, partial, wood); Storage structure
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas cooktop
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpeted areas
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Other heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: Pantry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $87k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $168 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $87k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#172 in TX, #4,537 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Roscoe Collegiate ISD (rural): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #721 of 826 in TX (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Nolan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($601 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Nolan County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.29%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,598
- List price
- $86,900
- Delta
- 3.95%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1404 Bandera Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,488 (+5%) | 17mo | $68,480 | $46 | 51 |
| 1100 Oak St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,477 (+4%) | 24mo | $180,000 | $122 | 46 |
| 1503 4th St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,494 (+6%) | 12mo | $72,000 | $48 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.01×
- Total profit
- $48,901
- Equity at exit
- $68,493
- IRR
- 24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.52×
- Total profit
- $134,238
- Equity at exit
- $138,386
Cash invested: $24,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79545
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,098 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$456
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,491/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $217 | -5% $193 | +0% $168 | +5% $143 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $81 | -5% $125 | +0% $168 | +5% $211 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $212 | -0.5pp $190 | base $168 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,725
- Closing costs
- $2,607
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $86,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $86,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $86,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $86,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $86,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $86,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $86,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $86,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $86,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $86,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $86,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $86,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $86,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $86,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $86,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $86,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-11$86,900 Active 537-char remark
-
1989-11-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,491 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,491 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,177
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,868
- − Property taxes
- −$2,491
- − Insurance
- −$434
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,054
- − Management
- −$1,054
- − Depreciation
- −$2,528
- Taxable income
- $748
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$179
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roscoe Collegiate ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4837860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -29.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,093
- Composite
- 21.0/100
- National rank
- #8460
- State rank
- #721 of 826 in TX
Livability — Roscoe
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #4537
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roscoe, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,778
Population outlook (Nolan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,048 people
- By 2030
- 15,043 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 15,235 · +1.2%
- By 2050
- 15,603 · +3.7%
- By 2075
- 16,528 · +9.8%
- By 2100
- 16,427 · +9.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 14% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Nolan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.2) · D 19.9% · R 79.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -38.8pp · 2024: -59.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.2 2020: R+55.4 2016: R+53.2 2012: R+45.1 2008: R+38.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.42%
- Current HPI
- 169.199
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $86,900 NCBOR
- 1989-11-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,491 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…