4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,206 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,662/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$509
Tax + insurance
−$72
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$732/mo
Annual
$8,781/yr
Cap rate
15.35%
Cash-on-cash
32.33%
DSCR
2.44
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$27,160
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $97k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $97k).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $671 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#307 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Montgomery County (rural): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #76 of 165 in KY (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Camargo Elementary School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 576 students, 64% FRL); Mcnabb Middle School (math 19% / reading 47%, grade F, #112 of 217 statewide, top 53%, 1,018 students, 55% FRL); Montgomery County High School (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #89 of 254 statewide, top 36%, 1,279 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $75k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YE6RGABATYGXTF
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29