2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$551
Tax + insurance
−$241
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$65/mo
Annual
$774/yr
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.63%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$29,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($774/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#336 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment C-.
Wellsville Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #442 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $105k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YER8F77J0036WH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29