3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1928
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,837/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$386
Net cashflow
$-214/mo
Annual
$-2,569/yr
Cap rate
5.32%
Cash-on-cash
-3.46%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-214 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (14.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (30.7% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $184k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#832 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hamburg Area SD (other): math 31% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #377 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 21% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $230k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YFE1B74FF9BNCF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29