2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 300 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$167
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$980/mo
Annual
$11,754/yr
Cap rate
18.05%
Cash-on-cash
42.00%
DSCR
2.87
1% rule
2.12%
Cash to close
$27,986
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#506 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D.
Port Townsend School District (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #101 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Salish Coast Elementary (441 students, 51% FRL); Blue Heron Middle School (265 students, 48% FRL); Port Townsend High School (377 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 2.5% in Port Townsend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YG20X0CXNKRRP1
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29