545 Hendricks St #13 · Port Townsend, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 82°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,950
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to carefree living with this beautifully updated 2bd/1bth manufactured home. A modern kitchen features all new stainless steel appliances, teak butcher block countertops, and plenty of storage. New full-size washer & dryer in unit. Ample double-pane windows and skylight offer tons of natural light. New waterproof laminate flooring throughout. Deluxe bathroom with brand new walk-in shower and designer vanity. The site backs up to a greenbelt and has its own yard - perfect for a pet! Monthly fee of $850 includes lot lease, water, sewer, and garbage. One block from a hospital, QFC, gas station, coffee, restaurants, and bakery. Only 2 miles from downtown, the boatyard, marina
Key facts
- Natural light
- Modern kitchen
- Skylight
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.1% vs local median 2.5% in Port Townsend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#506 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, crime D.
- Port Townsend School District (town): math 47% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #101 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Salish Coast Elementary (441 students, 51% FRL); Blue Heron Middle School (265 students, 48% FRL); Port Townsend High School (377 students, 49% FRL).
- Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 147 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $692 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 300 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 300 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.00%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,460
- List price
- $99,950
- Delta
- 32.45%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545 Hendricks St #33 | 0.02mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-4%) | 8mo | $25,500 | $37 | 81 |
| 545 Hendricks St #40 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (+2%) | 21mo | $75,000 | $101 | 79 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.65×
- Total profit
- $46,222
- Equity at exit
- $14,903
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.31×
- Total profit
- $120,712
- Equity at exit
- $8,642
Cash invested: $27,986 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98368
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,114 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,499/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $980
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,049 | -5% $1,014 | +0% $980 | +5% $945 | +10% $910 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $812 | -5% $896 | +0% $980 | +5% $1,063 | +10% $1,147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,030 | -0.5pp $1,005 | base $980 | +0.5pp $954 | +1.0pp $927 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,988
- Closing costs
- $2,998
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 Landes St Unit 1546263P Port Townsend, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $2,419 | $3.26 | 16d | 1 | 0.60mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $99,950 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,950 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,950 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,950 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,950 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,950 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,950 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,950 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,950 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,950 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,950 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,950 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,950 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,950 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,950 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,950 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,950 Active 277 DOM
-
2025-08-26$99,950 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥82°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,599
- − Property taxes
- −$1,499
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,030
- − Management
- −$2,030
- − Depreciation
- −$2,908
- Taxable income
- $10,806
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,593
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This beautifully updated 2bd/1bth manufactured home is in good condition with recent updates to the kitchen and bathroom. The home is move-in ready with new flooring and appliances, and is located in a desirable location with a greenbelt and yard.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improves the home's overall appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both exterior paint — refreshes the home's appearance ↑
- Both landscaping and curb appeal — improves the home's overall appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Port Townsend School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306840
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,686
- Composite
- 48.79/100
- National rank
- #4526
- State rank
- #101 of 291 in WA
Livability — Port Townsend
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #506
- US rank
- #20880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Townsend, WA
- County
- Jefferson County · 17,304 people
- City population
- 17,304
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,304
- Household income
- $69,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 345.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,415 people
- By 2030
- 31,568 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 30,911 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 29,927 · -4.7%
- By 2075
- 28,489 · -9.3%
- By 2100
- 26,483 · -15.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 7% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+45.3) · D 71.0% · R 25.7% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.7pp toward D · 2008: 34.6pp · 2024: 45.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+45.3 2020: D+41.4 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+31.4 2008: D+34.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -577.30%
- Current HPI
- 183.9706
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-26 Listed $99,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…