3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,588 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$245
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$412/mo
Annual
$4,948/yr
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.35%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 92/100 on livability (#8 in KY, #24 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
Bellevue Independent (suburban): math 17% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #136 of 165 in KY (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Grandview Elementary School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #568 of 676 statewide, top 84%, 277 students, 65% FRL); Bellevue High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 362 students, 61% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 49 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $162k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.5% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YG82VCEGEKJY6D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29