443 Washington Ave · Bellevue, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Private fenced yard
- 3,006 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.5% in Bellevue — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 92/100 on livability (#8 in KY, #24 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+.
- Bellevue Independent (suburban): math 17% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #136 of 165 in KY (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Grandview Elementary School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #568 of 676 statewide, top 84%, 277 students, 65% FRL); Bellevue High School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 254 statewide, top 68%, 362 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 49 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $162k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.35%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $320,776
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 413 Taylor Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-10%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $220 | 78 |
| 438 Clark St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,572 (-1%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $95 | 76 |
| 228 Center St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (+12%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $183 | 72 |
| 927 Thornton St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-11%) | 1mo | $207,500 | $147 | 66 |
| 417 8th Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (-3%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $202 | 66 |
| 138 Ward Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,484 (-6%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $256 | 65 |
| 118 Beech St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,610 (+1%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $186 | 65 |
| 402 5th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (-6%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $188 | 58 |
| 220 Berry Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,812 (+14%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $212 | 57 |
| 562 E 4th St E | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,680 (+6%) | 2mo | $462,425 | $275 | 55 |
| 300 8th Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-11%) | 1mo | $210,500 | $150 | 52 |
| 727 Linden Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,460 (-8%) | 1mo | $302,000 | $207 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,113
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $2,702
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41073
- Rents YoY
- 0.2%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,087 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,997/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $412
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $519 | -5% $466 | +0% $412 | +5% $359 | +10% $305 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $247 | -5% $330 | +0% $412 | +5% $495 | +10% $577 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $508 | -0.5pp $460 | base $412 | +0.5pp $363 | +1.0pp $314 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239 Grandview Ave Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1093 | $1,645 | $1.50 | 5d | 2 | 0.20mi |
| 327 Covert Run Pike Unit 1 Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,850 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 236 Ward Ave Bellevue, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,585 | $1.72 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 324 Fairfield Ave Unit 4 Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,545 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 324 Fairfield Ave Unit 1 Bellevue, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,685 | $1.56 | 4d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 118 Beech St Newport, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1243 Martin Dr Unit 1056135P Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1184 | $3,099 | $2.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 929 Boone St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1458 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 100 Aqua Way Newport, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1092 | $3,850 | $3.53 | 2d | 4 | 1.01mi |
| 814 Washington Ave Unit 2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,500 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1137 Fuller St Unit 1056121P Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1135 | $3,653 | $3.22 | 2d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 1044 Washington Ave #2 Newport, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1055 St Paul Pl Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,995 | $3.07 | 2d | 10 | 1.17mi |
| 923 Paradrome St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2098 | $3,000 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2015 Edgecliff Pt Unit 4 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 601 E Pete Rose Way Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1039 | $2,936 | $2.83 | 2d | 22 | 1.24mi |
| 1065 Manhattan Blvd Dayton, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $2,749 | $2.65 | 2d | 19 | 1.26mi |
| 427 Oregon St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,800 | $2.86 | 2d | 4 | 1.31mi |
| 1181 Manhattan Blvd Dayton, KY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,712 | $2.41 | 2d | 10 | 1.31mi |
| 621 E Mehring Way Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 938 | $2,249 | $2.40 | 2d | 12 | 1.34mi |
| 143 Capri Dr Fort Thomas, KY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $3,400 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 210 W 5th St Newport, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,800 | $2.13 | 4d | 15 | 1.43mi |
| 2132 Gilbert Ave Unit A Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $2,250 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 203 W 8th St Newport, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1456 | $2,300 | $1.58 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2331 Park Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-04-03$189,000 Active
-
2022-03-01soldstatus $162,225
-
2022-02-25historical 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
-
2022-02-24soldstatus $162,225 Sold 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
-
2022-01-17status Pending 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
-
2021-11-19price $159,500 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
-
2021-09-25price $159,900 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
-
2021-08-13$169,900 Active 130-char remark
Show marketing remark (130 chars)
Unique Floor Plan with Bonus Rooms on the 3rd floor. 2 Full Baths*Large Laundry Room*Ceramic Tile Fenced Yard*Off-Street Parking.
-
2021-08-11historical
-
2021-07-03status Active
-
2021-06-28status Pending
-
2021-05-22$169,900 Active
-
2013-06-21soldstatus $18,650
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2013-03-03$16,000
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1999-01-20soldstatus $43,500
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1999-01-13soldstatus $43,500
-
1998-01-25$43,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,997 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,997 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,043
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$1,997
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,003
- − Management
- −$2,003
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $2,009
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$482
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,466/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bellevue Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2100420
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,374
- Composite
- 22.13/100
- National rank
- #8173
- State rank
- #136 of 165 in KY
Livability — Bellevue
- Score
- 92/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #24
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellevue, KY
- County
- Campbell County · 84,793 people
- City population
- 5,636
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,636
- Household income
- $71,166
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,668 people
- By 2030
- 96,886 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 97,734 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 96,413 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 90,211 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 79,434 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -186.80%
- Current HPI
- 252.0078
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+334.5% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — NKMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $189,000 NKMLS
- 2022-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $162,225 Public Records
- 2022-02-25 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2022-02-24 Sold (MLS) $162,225 NKMLS
- 2022-01-17 Pending — NKMLS
- 2021-11-19 Price Changed $159,500 NKMLS
- 2021-09-25 Price Changed $159,900 NKMLS
- 2021-08-13 Listed $169,900 NKMLS
- 2021-08-11 Listing Removed — NKMLS
- 2021-07-03 Relisted — NKMLS
- 2021-06-28 Pending — NKMLS
- 2021-05-22 Listed $169,900 NKMLS
- 2013-06-21 Sold (MLS) $18,650 NKMLS
- 2013-03-03 Listed $16,000 NKMLS
- 1999-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
- 1999-01-13 Sold (MLS) $43,500 NKMLS
- 1998-01-25 Listed $43,500 NKMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,997 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…