3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,075 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,652/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$705
Tax + insurance
−$109
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$490/mo
Annual
$5,885/yr
Cap rate
10.67%
Cash-on-cash
15.63%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$37,660
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $134k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $134k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.8% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,652/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29