2243 Pinewood Dr · Brunswick, GA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick home in centrally located Magnolia Park. With some much needed TLC this could be a very nice home for a first time buyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio. Property is being sold in "As-Is" condition. The Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the state of Georgia.
Key facts
- 9,583 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1971
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 4.1% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#401 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Glynn County (other): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #47 of 174 in GA (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 82% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 734 units permitted in Glynn County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,652/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 1406% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $930 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glynn County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $134k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.63%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $174,969
- List price
- $134,500
- Delta
- -23.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4180 Whitlock St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,074 (-0%) | 10mo | $149,900 | $140 | 58 |
| 2235 Poinsettia Cir | 0.14mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,167 (+9%) | 21mo | $143,820 | $123 | 57 |
| 2600 Cate St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,020 (-5%) | 6mo | $153,750 | $151 | 56 |
| 2325 Woodland Way | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 989 (-8%) | 24mo | $200,000 | $202 | 53 |
| 214 Nell Leone Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,103 (+3%) | 2mo | $212,500 | $193 | 52 |
| 153 Dalton Cody Dr | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,079 (+0%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $144 | 51 |
| 2441 Blain St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,136 (+6%) | 18mo | $110,000 | $97 | 44 |
| 115 Dalton Cody Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-5%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $156 | 41 |
| 110 Dalton Cody Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 921 (-14%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $190 | 34 |
| 2400 Blain St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (-12%) | 21mo | $55,000 | $58 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $12,925
- Equity at exit
- $20,054
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $66,402
- Equity at exit
- $11,629
Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31520
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,652 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$705
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $639/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,625
- Closing costs
- $4,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Coastal Club Cir Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1153 | $1,314 | $1.14 | 44d | 5 | 0.85mi |
| 294 Windridge Dr Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $1,600 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3742 Ogg Ave Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,250 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 500 Beverly Villas Dr Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,712 | $1.28 | 44d | 4 | 1.11mi |
| 3220 Altama Ave Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3602 Norwich St Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2640 Canary Dr Brunswick, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3200 Cypress Mill Rd Brunswick, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1168 | $1,485 | $1.27 | 8d | 13 | 1.18mi |
| 3518 Hardee Ave Brunswick, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,550 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1105 Fountain Lake Dr Brunswick, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1157 | $1,575 | $1.36 | 2d | 6 | 1.33mi |
| 5600 Altama Ave Brunswick, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 44d | 3 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $134,500 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,500 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,500 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,500 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,500 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,500 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,500 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $134,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-03-23$134,500 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
3 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick home in centrally located Magnolia Park. With some much needed TLC this could be a very nice home for a first time buyer or an investor looking to add to their portfolio. Property is being sold in "As-Is" condition. The Seller is a licensed real estate broker in the state of Georgia.
-
2002-09-20soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $639 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,237 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$598/yr (+$50/mo · 93.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,534
- − Property taxes
- −$639
- − Insurance
- −$672
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,586
- − Management
- −$1,586
- − Depreciation
- −$3,913
- Taxable income
- $3,894
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$934
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glynn County
- NCES district ID
- 1302400
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,554
- Composite
- 33.83/100
- National rank
- #5359
- State rank
- #47 of 174 in GA
Livability — Brunswick
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #401
- US rank
- #19832
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brunswick, GA
- County
- Glynn County · 69,019 people
- City population
- 51,239
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,313
- Household income
- $40,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1406.0
Population outlook (Glynn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,404 people
- By 2030
- 94,806 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 100,060 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 103,258 · +13.0%
- By 2075
- 107,970 · +18.1%
- By 2100
- 103,363 · +13.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 50% White 33% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 10% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glynn
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.0) · D 36.8% · R 62.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.6pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -26.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.0 2020: R+23.2 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.83%
- Current HPI
- 180.4581
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Brunswick, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+236.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Listed $134,500 GIAR
- 2002-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $639 · -4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…