3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,894 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 365 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,251/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$263
Net cashflow
$40/mo
Annual
$486/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($486/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (10.6% below list).
It's been on market 365 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#146 in NY, #2,225 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Adirondack Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #426 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Adirondack Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 279 students, 55% FRL); Adirondack High School (math 92% / reading 92%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 360 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 39% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Adirondack Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $69k; list at $140k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.6% in Boonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 365 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YH5XHYDE7X3EXH
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29