4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,490/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$343
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$523
Net cashflow
$129/mo
Annual
$1,551/yr
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.94%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (12.6% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $249k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#34 in SD, #4,720 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
Rapid City Area School District 51-4 (urban): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #50 of 59 in SD (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: South Canyon Elementary - 15 (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #169 of 253 statewide, top 71%, 266 students, 27% FRL); West Middle School - 37 (math 42% / reading 51%, grade D+, #73 of 143 statewide, top 51%, 612 students, 26% FRL); Stevens High School - 42 (math 56% / reading 86%, grade B+, #11 of 151 statewide, top 7%, 1,686 students, 14% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Rapid City Area School District 51-4 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,181 units permitted in Pennington County in 2024 (715 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pennington County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.5% in Rapid City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29