None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,290/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$-362/mo
Annual
$-4,349/yr
Cap rate
4.12%
Cash-on-cash
-7.77%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$55,986
Investor read
This is a condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-362 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $148k (26.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (35.5% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (35.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#163 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, crime F.
Roanoke City Public School District (urban): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #102 of 131 in VA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Fallon Park Elementary (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #931 of 1,108 statewide, top 84%, 533 students, 99% FRL); John P. Fishwick Middle (math 33% / reading 60%, grade D+, #264 of 342 statewide, top 77%, 501 students, 98% FRL); William Fleming High (math 66% / reading 68%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 1,911 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 67% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 113 units permitted in Roanoke city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Roanoke County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling and general wear
Major: interior paint
— Peeling and general wear
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29