3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 165 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,533/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$618/mo
Annual
$7,416/yr
Cap rate
15.69%
Cash-on-cash
33.57%
DSCR
2.49
1% rule
1.94%
Cash to close
$22,092
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($545 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Windsor Park G/T (math 85% / reading 90%, grade A+, #6 of 4,322 statewide, top 0%, 609 students, 29% FRL); Adkins Middle (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 956 students, 48% FRL); Roy Miller H S And Metro School of Design (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 1,538 students, 88% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Corpus Christi ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Paint is faded and needs touch-up
Minor: Landscaping
— Basic landscaping could be improved
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· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29