48 Via Lisboa #48

Camarillo, CA 93012

$150,000B+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · Built 1999 · Manufactured · Active · 39 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,053/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax + insurance: −$250
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$641
• Net cashflow: $1,375/mo
• Annual: $16,499/yr
• Cap rate: 17.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.28%
• DSCR: 2.75
• 1% rule: 2.04%
• Cash to close: $42,000

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#72 in CA, #2,776 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
• Pleasant Valley (urban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #119 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Rancho Rosal Elementary (math 37% / reading 48%, grade F, #552 of 1,571 statewide, top 35%, 576 students, 33% FRL); Monte Vista Middle (math 26% / reading 52%, grade F, #158 of 498 statewide, top 32%, 680 students, 40% FRL); Adolfo Camarillo High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #296 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,912 students, 29% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $42k; list at $150k implies a 253% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.4% in Camarillo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.