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48 Via Lisboa #48
B+ Composite 78.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

48 Via Lisboa #48 · Camarillo, CA 93012
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 812 sqft · Manufactured · 39 Days on market
Built 1999 812 sqft lot Est $179k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.

Key facts

  • Beautiful kitchen
  • White appliances
  • Wooden cabinets

Tags

SCENIC WALKING TRAILCLOSE TO FREEWAYNEAR NEW STARBUCKSBEAUTIFUL KITCHENWOODEN CABINETSWHITE APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease in park: $2,075 monthly

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 covered carport spaces; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-wide mobile home (30' x 60'); Mobile home remains on lot
  • Construction: Model: 7602BM601M4
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; No patio or porch; No pool; Sprinklers: none; Located in Lamplighter MHP community (Park)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas oven; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Central cooling; Central heating
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.4% in Camarillo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#72 in CA, #2,776 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Pleasant Valley (urban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #119 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Rancho Rosal Elementary (math 37% / reading 48%, grade F, #552 of 1,571 statewide, top 35%, 576 students, 33% FRL); Monte Vista Middle (math 26% / reading 52%, grade F, #158 of 498 statewide, top 32%, 680 students, 40% FRL); Adolfo Camarillo High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #296 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,912 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $150k implies a 253% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
17.29%
Cash-on-cash
39.28%
DSCR
2.75
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,452
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
227 Calle de La Rosa #227 0.08mi 2/2.0 840 (+3%) 2mo $90,000 $107 85
21 Via Rosal Unit . 0.05mi 2/2.0 720 (-11%) 24mo $159,000 $221 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$57,935
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
39.5%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$142,123
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93012

Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,053 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$641
Net cashflow
$1,375

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,312
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,479 -5% $1,427 +0% $1,375 +5% $1,323 +10% $1,271
Rent -10% $1,134 -5% $1,254 +0% $1,375 +5% $1,495 +10% $1,616
Rate -1.0pp $1,450 -0.5pp $1,413 base $1,375 +0.5pp $1,336 +1.0pp $1,296

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
208 Riverdale Ct #715 Camarillo, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $2,800 $3.11 3d 1 0.53mi
313 Westpark Ct Camarillo, CA 2.0 1.0–1.5 838 $3,225 $3.85 3d 2 0.73mi
3065 Village At the Park Dr Camarillo, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 753 $3,095 $4.11 3d 4 0.76mi
5176 Verdugo Way Camarillo, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 844 $4,077 $4.83 3d 221 0.98mi
1571 Flynn Rd Camarillo, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 1081 $3,475 $3.21 3d 1 1.26mi
1157 Via Montoya Camarillo, CA 2.0 2.0 1111 $2,950 $2.66 3d 1 1.26mi
2400 Pickwick Dr Camarillo, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 826 $2,850 $3.45 3d 2 1.27mi
1149 Via Montoya Camarillo, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $3,195 $3.21 3d 1 1.27mi
1123 Via Montoya Unit 1123 Camarillo, CA 2.0 2.0 994 $2,650 $2.67 12d 1 1.28mi
7208 Village 7 Unit 7 Camarillo, CA 2.0 2.0 1108 $3,000 $2.71 12d 1 1.49mi
96 Oak St Camarillo, CA 1.0 1.0 720 $2,200 $3.06 3d 1 1.50mi
78 Oak St Unit 78 Camarillo, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $2,650 $4.08 3d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 35 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $150,000 Active
  17. 2026-04-17
    historical
  18. 2026-01-28
    price $180,000
  19. 2025-12-03
    status Active
  20. 2025-12-03
    price $185,900
  21. 2025-11-28
    historical
  22. 2025-10-15
    price $179,900
  23. 2025-08-29
    listed $199,000 Active
  24. 2015-12-21
    soldstatus $42,500 Closed 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.

  25. 2015-12-19
    status Pending 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.

  26. 2015-11-12
    status Backup Offers Accepted 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.

  27. 2015-10-19
    price $46,000 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.

  28. 2015-09-06
    listed $49,500 Active 268-char remark
    Show marketing remark (268 chars)

    1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.

  29. 2013-05-05
    historical
  30. 2013-03-04
    listed $27,900 Active
  31. 2013-03-01
    historical
  32. 2012-11-29
    listed $27,900 Active
  33. 2011-12-21
    historical
  34. 2011-07-30
    price $19,500
  35. 2011-06-21
    listed $49,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,630
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,930
− Management
−$2,930
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$15,004
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,601
After-tax cash flow
$12,898/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Valley
NCES district ID
0630990
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$87,342
Composite
46.3/100
National rank
#2476
State rank
#119 of 517 in CA

Livability — Camarillo

Score
78/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#2776

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camarillo, CA
County
Ventura County · 829,955 people
City population
82,539
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,791
Household income
$135,217
Rent vs Own
29.9% rent · 70.1% own
Severe rent burden
1204.0

Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
895,754 people
By 2030
912,134 · +1.8%
By 2040
931,454 · +4.0%
By 2050
934,609 · +4.3%
By 2075
924,899 · +3.3%
By 2100
864,712 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ventura

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -517.29%
Current HPI
276.7695
Rent YoY
▲ 1.22%
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+206.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $180,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $185,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-11-28 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $179,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-12-21 Sold (MLS) $42,500 CRMLS
  • 2015-12-19 Pending CRMLS
  • 2015-11-12 Pending CRMLS
  • 2015-10-19 Price Changed $46,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-09-06 Listed $49,500 CRMLS
  • 2013-05-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2013-03-04 Listed $27,900 CRMLS
  • 2013-03-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2012-11-29 Listed $27,900 CRMLS
  • 2011-12-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2011-07-30 Price Changed $19,500 CRMLS
  • 2011-06-21 Listed $49,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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