48 Via Lisboa #48 · Camarillo, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.
Key facts
- Beautiful kitchen
- White appliances
- Wooden cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease in park: $2,075 monthly
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered carport spaces; 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home (30' x 60'); Mobile home remains on lot
- Construction: Model: 7602BM601M4
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; No patio or porch; No pool; Sprinklers: none; Located in Lamplighter MHP community (Park)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas oven; Dishwasher
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Central cooling; Central heating
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.4% in Camarillo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#72 in CA, #2,776 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Pleasant Valley (urban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #119 of 517 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Rancho Rosal Elementary (math 37% / reading 48%, grade F, #552 of 1,571 statewide, top 35%, 576 students, 33% FRL); Monte Vista Middle (math 26% / reading 52%, grade F, #158 of 498 statewide, top 32%, 680 students, 40% FRL); Adolfo Camarillo High (math 42% / reading 62%, grade D+, #296 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,912 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.2% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $150k implies a 253% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.28%
- DSCR
- 2.75
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,452
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 Calle de La Rosa #227 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 840 (+3%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $107 | 85 |
| 21 Via Rosal Unit . | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (-11%) | 24mo | $159,000 | $221 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $57,935
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.38×
- Total profit
- $142,123
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93012
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,053 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$641
- Net cashflow
- $1,375
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,479 | -5% $1,427 | +0% $1,375 | +5% $1,323 | +10% $1,271 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,134 | -5% $1,254 | +0% $1,375 | +5% $1,495 | +10% $1,616 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,450 | -0.5pp $1,413 | base $1,375 | +0.5pp $1,336 | +1.0pp $1,296 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Riverdale Ct #715 Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,800 | $3.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 313 Westpark Ct Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 838 | $3,225 | $3.85 | 3d | 2 | 0.73mi |
| 3065 Village At the Park Dr Camarillo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 753 | $3,095 | $4.11 | 3d | 4 | 0.76mi |
| 5176 Verdugo Way Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $4,077 | $4.83 | 3d | 221 | 0.98mi |
| 1571 Flynn Rd Camarillo, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1081 | $3,475 | $3.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1157 Via Montoya Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $2,950 | $2.66 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2400 Pickwick Dr Camarillo, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $2,850 | $3.45 | 3d | 2 | 1.27mi |
| 1149 Via Montoya Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $3,195 | $3.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1123 Via Montoya Unit 1123 Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $2,650 | $2.67 | 12d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7208 Village 7 Unit 7 Camarillo, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $3,000 | $2.71 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 96 Oak St Camarillo, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 78 Oak St Unit 78 Camarillo, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,650 | $4.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 35 events
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2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-05-14$150,000 Active
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2026-04-17historical
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2026-01-28price $180,000
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2025-12-03status Active
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2025-12-03price $185,900
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2025-11-28historical
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2025-10-15price $179,900
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2025-08-29$199,000 Active
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2015-12-21soldstatus $42,500 Closed 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.
-
2015-12-19status Pending 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.
-
2015-11-12status Backup Offers Accepted 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.
-
2015-10-19price $46,000 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.
-
2015-09-06$49,500 Active 268-char remark
Show marketing remark (268 chars)
1999 Manuf Home in Camarillo's only Family Park. Drywall walls, high ceilings in this 2/1 with over 800 sq ft. Eat-in Kitchen is open to the Living Room. Best deal in Lamplighter. Fruit trees on the property too. Sale includes W/ D, Refrigerator and Kitchen Furniture.
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2013-05-05historical
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2013-03-04$27,900 Active
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2013-03-01historical
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2012-11-29$27,900 Active
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2011-12-21historical
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2011-07-30price $19,500
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2011-06-21$49,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,930
- − Management
- −$2,930
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $15,004
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,601
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,898/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasant Valley
- NCES district ID
- 0630990
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,342
- Composite
- 46.3/100
- National rank
- #2476
- State rank
- #119 of 517 in CA
Livability — Camarillo
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #72
- US rank
- #2776
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Camarillo, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 82,539
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,791
- Household income
- $135,217
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1204.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -517.29%
- Current HPI
- 276.7695
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.22%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+206.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $180,000 CRMLS
- 2025-12-03 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $185,900 CRMLS
- 2025-11-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed $179,900 CRMLS
- 2025-08-29 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
- 2015-12-21 Sold (MLS) $42,500 CRMLS
- 2015-12-19 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-11-12 Pending — CRMLS
- 2015-10-19 Price Changed $46,000 CRMLS
- 2015-09-06 Listed $49,500 CRMLS
- 2013-05-05 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2013-03-04 Listed $27,900 CRMLS
- 2013-03-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2012-11-29 Listed $27,900 CRMLS
- 2011-12-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2011-07-30 Price Changed $19,500 CRMLS
- 2011-06-21 Listed $49,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…