2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,260 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Condo
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,514
Tax + insurance
−$1,192
HOA
−$1,978
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,234
Net cashflow
$-2,042/mo
Annual
$-24,501/yr
Cap rate
3.40%
Cash-on-cash
-10.33%
DSCR
0.54
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$187,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $670k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (53.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $588k (12.3% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($650k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $309k (53.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#693 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, housing C-, amenities F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: 539 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $408k; list at $670k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.4% vs local median 0.5% in Longboat Key — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($158k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 54% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YMP7QSAATBQQ98
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29