3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,387 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,499/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$322
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$735
Net cashflow
$-311/mo
Annual
$-3,727/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.54%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-311 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $470k (10.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (33.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($494k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $350k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#461 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Corona-Norco Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #312 of 1,400 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Elementary (596 students, 95% FRL); Letha Raney Intermediate (660 students, 89% FRL); Corona High (2,251 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 35% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $525k implies a 3287% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.9% in Corona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YN95NG3B2BHKJK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29