4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,518 sqft ·
Built 1911
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,512/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,405
Tax + insurance
−$410
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$738
Net cashflow
$959/mo
Annual
$11,513/yr
Cap rate
10.84%
Cash-on-cash
16.23%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$75,040
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $268k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $480/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $268k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $173k; list at $268k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $75k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,512/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1643% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29