4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,069 sqft ·
Built 1875
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,887
Tax + insurance
−$574
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$-249/mo
Annual
$-2,992/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.97%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$100,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $360k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-249 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $316k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($355k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $280k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#8 in MD, #313 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-.
Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 4.2% in Perry Hall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YQGA2X3G8YNGWN
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29