3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,473 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Townhouse
· Active
· 326 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,381/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,447
Tax + insurance
−$460
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$500
Net cashflow
$-26/mo
Annual
$-316/yr
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.41%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$77,280
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $276k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-316/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (1.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (13.7% below list).
It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (13.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YRSC6J5VH9Z604
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29