11 Division St

Norwich, CT 06360

$54,300C+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,130 sqft · Built 1870 · MultiFamily · Active · 102 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,337/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,497
• Tax + insurance: −$476
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$701
• Net cashflow: $664/mo
• Annual: $7,967/yr
• Cap rate: 9.08%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.97%
• DSCR: 1.44
• 1% rule: 1.17%
• Cash to close: $79,910

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $54k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $332/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $54k).
• It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $49k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#18 in CT, #1,391 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, commute A-.
• Norwich School District (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #139 of 153 in CT (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Moriarty Magnet School (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #396 of 553 statewide, top 72%, 368 students, 62% FRL); Kelly Steam Magnet Middle School (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #156 of 175 statewide, top 90%, 556 students, 72% FRL).
• Watch-outs: property tax is 7.9% of price; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 4.1% in Norwich — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $3,337/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1643% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?