4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 2019
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,270/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$743
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$687
Net cashflow
$-650/mo
Annual
$-7,804/yr
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.27%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $475k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-650 ($-8k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-325/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $360k (24.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (31.2% below list).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($461k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $327k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $475k implies a 521% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,270/mo this rent would consume 100% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YTA5ZPB63GZP5B
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29