4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,976 sqft ·
Built 1965
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 282 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$818
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$-917/mo
Annual
$-11,003/yr
Cap rate
4.15%
Cash-on-cash
-7.64%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-917 ($-11k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-458/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (58.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (38.2% below list).
It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (58.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#108 in TX, #3,559 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, crime F.
Galveston ISD (town): math 33% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #514 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oppe El (math 67% / reading 60%, grade B, #291 of 4,322 statewide, top 7%, 610 students, 63% FRL); Central Middle (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,662 statewide, top 88%, 879 students, 80% FRL); Ball H S (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,085 of 1,632 statewide, top 67%, 1,934 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools at 72% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 531 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 89d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,258 units permitted in Galveston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Galveston County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 0.4% in Galveston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent per unit is only 17% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 59% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The independent satellite image shows significant wear and tear on the composition roof.
Moderate: exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows some discoloration and minor damage.
Minor: landscaping
— The landscaping appears overgrown and in need of maintenance.
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29