3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,140 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,190/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$671
Tax + insurance
−$254
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$460
Net cashflow
$806/mo
Annual
$9,670/yr
Cap rate
13.85%
Cash-on-cash
27.00%
DSCR
2.20
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$35,812
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $128k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $806 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($884 loan paydown + $767 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Nature Coast Middle School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 90 students, 82% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 62% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 3.2% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YTZVNHE3ZHJA0N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29