2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
888 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 200 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$823
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$477
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-63/mo
Annual
$-759/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.73%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$43,932
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $157k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-63 ($-759/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (7.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 8617% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $157k implies a 199% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YV8EAEC4RSM7RV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29