4908 Northcutt Pl

Dayton, OH 45414

$329,900B

10 bd · 1.0 ba · 4,312 sqft · Built 1969 · MultiFamily · Active · 230 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,053/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,730
• Tax + insurance: −$452
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,061
• Net cashflow: $1,810/mo
• Annual: $21,716/yr
• Cap rate: 12.88%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.51%
• DSCR: 2.05
• 1% rule: 1.53%
• Cash to close: $92,372

Investor read

• This is a 5 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $330k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $362/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $330k).
• It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 11 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 37603% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• Current owner paid $85k; list at $330k implies a 288% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $92k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $5,053/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 801% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.