2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 290 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,920/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$879/mo
Annual
$10,546/yr
Cap rate
19.64%
Cash-on-cash
47.66%
DSCR
3.12
1% rule
2.26%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $879 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Northern Tioga SD (rural): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #301 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Russell B Walter El Sch (math 42% / reading 60%, grade C-, #636 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 493 students, 100% FRL); Williamson Shs (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #285 of 437 statewide, top 65%, 535 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 45% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 2.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets are dated and could be replaced with modern ones.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures are outdated and need to be replaced for a modern look.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— The siding has some discoloration and minor damage that needs to be addressed.
Minor: Landscaping
— The landscaping could be improved with some trimming and new plants.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YW90BM8W7YV3Y7
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29