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5379 Main St
A- Composite 82.98
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$85,000

5379 Main St · Jackson, PA 16936
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 290 Days on market
Built 1920 Fair condition 9,583 sqft lot $67/sqft · 36% below area Est $132k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own? This affordable ranch home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for low-maintenance living. The home features a large eat-in kitchen, a flat and usable backyard, and a newer furnace for added peace of mind. Several vinyl replacement windows have been installed, and a recently added reverse osmosis system provides quality drinking water. Conveniently located in a small village near the New York border, offering an easy commute while enjoying Pennsylvania living. A great opportunity to own for less than rent!

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Usable backyard
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENUSABLE BACKYARDNEWER FURNACEVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSREVERSE OSMOSIS SYSTEMSMALL VILLAGE LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $879 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.6% vs local median 2.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Northern Tioga SD (rural): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #301 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Russell B Walter El Sch (math 42% / reading 60%, grade C-, #636 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 493 students, 100% FRL); Williamson Shs (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #285 of 437 statewide, top 65%, 535 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 45% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.26% ✓
Cap rate
19.64%
Cash-on-cash
47.66%
DSCR
3.12
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$131,913
List price
$85,000
Delta
-35.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5296 Main St 0.17mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,197 (-6%) 41mo $120,000 $100 55
5385 Main St 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,630 (+28%) 56mo $107,000 $66 49
19 Third St 0.18mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (+10%) 32mo $169,900 $121 48
555 Kinner Hill Rd 1.93mi 2/1.0 1,184 (-7%) 16mo $160,000 $135 40
864 Bear Creek Rd 2.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,086 (-15%) 6mo $149,900 $138 30
56 Country Acres Ln 1.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (-4%) 52mo $16,900 $14 29
5072 Main St 0.59mi 2/1.0 940 (-26%) 49mo $110,000 $117 28
987 N Road 1.81mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,608 (+26%) 50mo $159,900 $99 15
987 North Rd 1.78mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,608 (+26%) 50mo $159,900 $99 15
472 Switchback Rd 1.42mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,608 (+26%) 39mo $250,000 $155 11
286 Kinner Hill Rd 2.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+19%) 57mo $179,900 $119 11
Judson Hill Rd 1.88mi 4/3.0 (+2) 1,628 (+28%) 43mo $345,000 $212 2

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.1%
Equity multiple
3.70×
Total profit
$64,306
Equity at exit
$36,129
10-year hold
IRR
49.2%
Equity multiple
7.43×
Total profit
$153,065
Equity at exit
$54,104

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16936

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,920 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax from tax record
−$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
−$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$879

Break-even live

Break-even rent $807
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $927 -5% $903 +0% $879 +5% $855 +10% $831
Rent -10% $727 -5% $803 +0% $879 +5% $955 +10% $1,030
Rate -1.0pp $922 -0.5pp $900 base $879 +0.5pp $857 +1.0pp $834

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $85,000 Active 290 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 289 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $85,000 Active 288 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 287 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 286 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 284 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 283 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 282 DOM
  9. 2026-10-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 281 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $85,000 Active 280 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $85,000 Active 279 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $85,000 Active 278 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $85,000 Active 277 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $85,000 Active 276 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $85,000 Active 275 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $85,000 Active 274 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $85,000 Active 273 DOM
  18. 2026-10-22
    status $85,000 Active 272 DOM
  19. 2026-10-21
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 272 DOM
  20. 2026-10-20
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 271 DOM
  21. 2026-10-19
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 270 DOM
  22. 2026-10-18
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 269 DOM
  23. 2026-10-17
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 268 DOM
  24. 2026-10-16
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 267 DOM
  25. 2026-10-15
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 266 DOM
  26. 2026-10-14
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 265 DOM
  27. 2026-10-13
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 264 DOM
  28. 2026-10-12
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 263 DOM
  29. 2026-10-11
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 262 DOM
  30. 2026-10-10
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 261 DOM
  31. 2026-10-09
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 260 DOM
  32. 2026-10-08
    days on market $85,000 Active Under Contract 259 DOM
  33. 2026-10-08
    status $85,000 Active Under Contract 258 DOM
  34. 2026-10-07
    days on market $85,000 Active 258 DOM
  35. 2026-10-06
    days on market $85,000 Active 257 DOM
  36. 2026-10-05
    days on market $85,000 Active 256 DOM
  37. 2026-10-04
    days on market $85,000 Active 255 DOM
  38. 2026-10-03
    days on market $85,000 Active 254 DOM
  39. 2026-10-02
    days on market $85,000 Active 253 DOM
  40. 2026-10-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 252 DOM
  41. 2026-09-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 251 DOM
  42. 2026-09-29
    days on market $85,000 Active 250 DOM
  43. 2026-09-28
    days on market $85,000 Active 249 DOM
  44. 2026-09-27
    days on market $85,000 Active 248 DOM
  45. 2026-09-26
    days on market $85,000 Active 247 DOM
  46. 2026-09-25
    days on market $85,000 Active 246 DOM
  47. 2026-09-24
    days on market $85,000 Active 245 DOM
  48. 2026-09-23
    days on market $85,000 Active 244 DOM
  49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $85,000 Active 241 DOM
  50. 2026-09-19
    days on market $85,000 Active 240 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,212 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$131/yr (+$11/mo · 12.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,035
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,843
− Management
−$1,843
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$9,813
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,355
After-tax cash flow
$8,191/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $31,800–$57,240 screening

This single-family home requires moderate renovations to improve its condition and increase its value. The kitchen and bathroom need updates, and the exterior siding and landscaping could be improved.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — The cabinets are dated and could be replaced with modern ones.
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — The fixtures are outdated and need to be replaced for a modern look.
  • Moderate Exterior siding — The siding has some discoloration and minor damage that needs to be addressed.
  • Minor Landscaping — The landscaping could be improved with some trimming and new plants.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Modern kitchen cabinets and countertops — Updating the kitchen will make the home more appealing to potential buyers. ↑
  • Resale New bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathroom will improve the home's overall appeal and functionality. ↑
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained landscape will enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 44/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Russell B Walter El Sch C- PA #636/1,518 Nat'l #12,255/41,679 High Williamson Shs F PA #285/437 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Tioga SD
NCES district ID
4217730
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,816
Composite
36.95/100
National rank
#4534
State rank
#301 of 539 in PA

Livability — Jackson

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Millerton, PA
County
Tioga · 40,253 people
Population (ZIP)
2,072
Household income
$56,958
Rent vs Own
20.5% rent · 79.5% own
Severe rent burden
17% of renters

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,253 people
By 2030
38,795 · -3.6%
By 2040
35,376 · -12.1%
By 2050
32,081 · -20.3%
By 2075
24,341 · -39.5%
By 2100
17,180 · -57.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

+370.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $89,900 NMPA
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $99,900 NMPA
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NMPA
  • 2021-10-11 Listed $89,900 NMPA
  • 1997-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $19,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,080 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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