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5379 Main St
A- Composite 83.22
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$89,900

5379 Main St · Millerton, PA 16936
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 150 Days on market
Built 1920 9,583 sqft lot $71/sqft · 33% below area Est $133k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own? This affordable ranch home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for low-maintenance living. The home features a large eat-in kitchen, a flat and usable backyard, and a newer furnace for added peace of mind. Several vinyl replacement windows have been installed, and a recently added reverse osmosis system provides quality drinking water. Conveniently located in a small village near the New York border, offering an easy commute while enjoying Pennsylvania living. A great opportunity to own for less than rent!

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Usable backyard
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

EAT-IN KITCHENUSABLE BACKYARDNEWER FURNACEVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSREVERSE OSMOSIS SYSTEMSMALL VILLAGE LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,146 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Northern Tioga SD (rural): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #301 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,112 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.18%
Cap rate
19.00%
Cash-on-cash
45.39%
DSCR
3.02
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$133,294
List price
$89,900
Delta
-32.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
3.59×
Total profit
$65,211
Equity at exit
$38,211
10-year hold
IRR
47.2%
Equity multiple
7.19×
Total profit
$155,823
Equity at exit
$57,223

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16936

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,080/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$886

Break-even live

Break-even rent $842
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $936 -5% $911 +0% $886 +5% $860 +10% $835
Rent -10% $730 -5% $808 +0% $886 +5% $963 +10% $1,041
Rate -1.0pp $931 -0.5pp $908 base $886 +0.5pp $862 +1.0pp $839

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 150 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,900 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,900 Active 142 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,900 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,900 Active 138 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 137 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,900 Active 136 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,900 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $89,900 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 129 DOM
  17. 2026-04-13
    price $89,900 615-char remark
    Show marketing remark (615 chars)

    Why rent when you can own? This affordable ranch home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for low-maintenance living. The home features a large eat-in kitchen, a flat and usable backyard, and a newer furnace for added peace of mind. Several vinyl replacement windows have been installed, and a recently added reverse osmosis system provides quality drinking water. Conveniently located in a small village near the New York border, offering an easy commute while enjoying Pennsylvania living. A great opportunity to own for less than rent!

  18. 2026-01-22
    listed $99,900 Active 615-char remark
    Show marketing remark (615 chars)

    Why rent when you can own? This affordable ranch home offers 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for low-maintenance living. The home features a large eat-in kitchen, a flat and usable backyard, and a newer furnace for added peace of mind. Several vinyl replacement windows have been installed, and a recently added reverse osmosis system provides quality drinking water. Conveniently located in a small village near the New York border, offering an easy commute while enjoying Pennsylvania living. A great opportunity to own for less than rent!

  19. 2021-12-30
    soldstatus $70,000 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Location and convenience! This 2-3BR/1BA home located in Millerton, PA offers the convenience of single-floor living and is just minutes away from the PA/NY border. It is located on a large, level lot and features 2 bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a large eat-in kitchen. The back porch is enclosed and could be used for storage or as a workshop/hobby area. The utility room offers plenty of storage and could even be converted into a 3rd bedroom. With a little TLC, this house could become a place for you to enjoy for years to come. With a location that provides an easy commute to Elmira, Corning, and Mansfield, this could be your next home or a great investment property. Schedule a showing today!

  20. 2021-10-11
    listed $89,900 702-char remark
    Show marketing remark (702 chars)

    Location and convenience! This 2-3BR/1BA home located in Millerton, PA offers the convenience of single-floor living and is just minutes away from the PA/NY border. It is located on a large, level lot and features 2 bedrooms, a full bathroom, and a large eat-in kitchen. The back porch is enclosed and could be used for storage or as a workshop/hobby area. The utility room offers plenty of storage and could even be converted into a 3rd bedroom. With a little TLC, this house could become a place for you to enjoy for years to come. With a location that provides an easy commute to Elmira, Corning, and Mansfield, this could be your next home or a great investment property. Schedule a showing today!

  21. 1997-12-08
    soldstatus $19,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,080 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,250 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$170/yr (+$14/mo · 15.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,559
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$1,080
− Insurance
−$1,247
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,885
− Management
−$1,885
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$9,811
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,355
After-tax cash flow
$8,272/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Tioga SD
NCES district ID
4217730
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,816
Composite
36.95/100
National rank
#4534
State rank
#301 of 539 in PA

Livability — Millerton

Score
65/100
State rank
#1146
US rank
#13184

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millerton, PA
Population (ZIP)
2,072

Population outlook (Tioga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
40,253 people
By 2030
38,795 · -3.6%
By 2040
35,376 · -12.1%
By 2050
32,081 · -20.3%
By 2075
24,341 · -39.5%
By 2100
17,180 · -57.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tioga

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.8) · D 23.6% · R 75.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -51.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.8 2020: R+51.2 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+27.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.56%
Current HPI
236.2636
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+370.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $89,900 NMPA
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $99,900 NMPA
  • 2021-12-30 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NMPA
  • 2021-10-11 Listed $89,900 NMPA
  • 1997-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $19,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,080 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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