3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
3,576 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,674
Tax + insurance
−$571
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$503
Net cashflow
$-1,394/mo
Annual
$-16,728/yr
Cap rate
3.01%
Cash-on-cash
-11.72%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.47%
Cash to close
$142,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $510k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (48.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (53.0% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $240k (53.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in IN, #898 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Hamilton Southeastern Schools (suburban): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 301 in IN (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Fall Creek Elementary School (math 81% / reading 63%, grade A-, #31 of 994 statewide, top 3%, 475 students, 12% FRL); Fall Creek Junior High (math 50% / reading 64%, grade B, #21 of 330 statewide, top 6%, 1,002 students, 14% FRL); Hamilton Southeastern Hs (math 66% / reading 85%, grade A-, #7 of 369 statewide, top 2%, 3,450 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 4,661 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (1,528 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hamilton County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $313k; list at $510k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YWKR9ZAAWDJBDK
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29