438 Murphy St

Norton, VA 24273

$14,000C-

2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,416 sqft · Built 1960 · SingleFamily · Active · 336 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,176/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$73
• Tax + insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$247
• Net cashflow: $820/mo
• Annual: $9,844/yr
• Cap rate: 76.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 251.12%
• DSCR: 12.17
• 1% rule: 8.40%
• Cash to close: $3,920

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $14k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $820 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $14k).
• It's been on market 336 days — a 12% lower offer ($12k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $12k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $117 of equity ($97 loan paydown + $20 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#139 in VA, #4,441 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A; Watch: commute D, crime F, amenities F.
• Norton City Public School District (town): math 68% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #12 of 131 in VA (top 9%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
• Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP.
• Norton County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 76.6% vs local median 4.4% in Norton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 336 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.