3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,446 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,814/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,560
Tax + insurance
−$320
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$381
Net cashflow
$-447/mo
Annual
$-5,363/yr
Cap rate
4.49%
Cash-on-cash
-6.44%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.61%
Cash to close
$83,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-447 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (26.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (39.0% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $181k (39.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Canby Lane Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,228 statewide, top 85%, 461 students, 100% FRL); Mary Mcleod Bethune Middle School (math 4% / reading 13%, grade F, #439 of 470 statewide, top 94%, 718 students, 100% FRL); Towers High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 764 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 57% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $91k; list at $298k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YXDB2S0BGXWQWQ
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29