1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
440 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 347 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$903/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$181
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$190
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,370/yr
Cap rate
13.31%
Cash-on-cash
25.07%
DSCR
2.12
1% rule
1.88%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($903 rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 347 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Sinton ISD (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #601 of 826 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Welder El (574 students, 74% FRL); E Merle Smith Middle (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 428 students, 72% FRL); Sinton H S (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 610 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.6% in Sinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 347 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: roof
— The roof appears to be in fair condition, but may need minor repairs or touch-ups.
Major: siding
— The siding is in poor condition and may need replacement or major repairs.
Major: paint
— The paint on the exterior is peeling and chipping, indicating major damage and the need for repainting.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping and fencing are overgrown and in need of maintenance, which could detract from the home's curb appeal.
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· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29