1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
440 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$425/mo
Annual
$5,099/yr
Cap rate
17.62%
Cash-on-cash
40.47%
DSCR
2.80
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Sinton ISD (town): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #601 of 826 in TX (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Welder El (574 students, 74% FRL); E Merle Smith Middle (math 26% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 428 students, 72% FRL); Sinton H S (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 610 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 3.7% in Sinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: roof
— The roof appears to be in fair condition, but may need minor repairs or touch-ups.
Major: siding
— The siding is in poor condition and may need replacement or major repairs.
Major: paint
— The paint on the exterior is peeling and chipping, indicating major damage and the need for repainting.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping and fencing are overgrown and in need of maintenance, which could detract from the home's curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YXXQR4FVB62346
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29