1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
915 sqft ·
Built 1914
· Condo
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$573
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$-403/mo
Annual
$-4,835/yr
Cap rate
2.57%
Cash-on-cash
-13.28%
DSCR
0.41
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-403 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $72k (44.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (44.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $177 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Henry Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 204 students, 98% FRL); Gateway Middle (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #389 of 391 statewide, top 100%, 506 students, 99% FRL); Vashon High (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #520 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 568 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 11 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 37d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 2.6% vs local median 4.9% in St. Louis — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-YZ7T4YCN2RBR37
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29