2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
766 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$846/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$177/mo
Annual
$2,124/yr
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.93%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#323 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Valley Springs School District (rural): math 56% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #7 of 238 in AR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Valley Springs Elem. School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #119 of 454 statewide, top 28%, 350 students, 49% FRL); Valley Springs Middle School (math 62% / reading 56%, grade B, #13 of 201 statewide, top 7%, 235 students, 44% FRL); Valley Springs High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #6 of 292 statewide, top 2%, 267 students, 37% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 444 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-YZ8T2GB47YHGVR
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29