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B Composite 70.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

None · Bellefonte, AR 72601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 766 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1950

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cute fixer-upper, features 2 bedroom 1 bath with metal roof and vinyl siding with detached metal carport on a nice tree-shaded lot. No appliances or heat and air. Selling ''as-is'' with no disclosure or termite or warranty. Seller should do their inspection prior to submitting an offer. New survey and concrete septic.

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Concrete septic
  • Tree-shaded lot

Tags

METAL ROOFVINYL SIDINGDETACHED METAL CARPORTTREE-SHADED LOTCONCRETE SEPTIC

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Curbs in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport (1 covered space); Has carport
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Septic (septic tank)
  • Home design: One story; Metal roof; Vinyl and wood siding
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Unpaved driveway; Corner lot with hardwood trees, rolling slope and wooded areas; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 11'3" x 15'3")
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approx. 13'7" x 9'2" and 13'7" x 9'3")
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($846 rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#323 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Valley Springs School District (rural): math 56% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #7 of 238 in AR (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Valley Springs Elem. School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #119 of 454 statewide, top 28%, 350 students, 49% FRL); Valley Springs Middle School (math 62% / reading 56%, grade B, #13 of 201 statewide, top 7%, 235 students, 44% FRL); Valley Springs High School (math 47% / reading 67%, grade C, #6 of 292 statewide, top 2%, 267 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 443 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boone County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.47%
Cash-on-cash
14.93%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$3,165
Equity at exit
$13,828
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$20,211
Equity at exit
$12,059

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72601

Home prices YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
443
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$846 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $346/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$178
Net cashflow
$177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $622
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $217 -5% $197 +0% $177 +5% $157 +10% $137
Rent -10% $110 -5% $144 +0% $177 +5% $210 +10% $244
Rate -1.0pp $212 -0.5pp $195 base $177 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $140

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 319-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $69,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$346 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$447 · $37/mo
Expected delta
+$101/yr (+$8/mo · 29.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,147
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$346
− Insurance
−$1,147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$812
− Management
−$812
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$1,081
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$259
After-tax cash flow
$1,865/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley Springs School District
NCES district ID
0513350
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,757
Composite
46.57/100
National rank
#2424
State rank
#7 of 238 in AR

Livability — Bellefonte

Score
58/100
State rank
#323
US rank
#21230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellefonte, AR
Population (ZIP)
30,180

Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,238 people
By 2030
36,808 · -1.2%
By 2040
35,597 · -4.4%
By 2050
34,197 · -8.2%
By 2075
30,503 · -18.1%
By 2100
25,797 · -30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Boone

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.0) · D 16.7% · R 81.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -39.7pp · 2024: -65.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.0 2020: R+61.9 2016: R+58.5 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+39.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.92%
Current HPI
247.043
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $69,900 NWARMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $346 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…