4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,562 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,671/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,293
Tax + insurance
−$2,698
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,241
Net cashflow
$-560/mo
Annual
$-6,721/yr
Cap rate
5.73%
Cash-on-cash
-2.00%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$336,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.20M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-560 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.10M (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.07M (11.1% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.18M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.07M (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#159 in NY, #2,451 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
Eastchester Union Free School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #42 of 590 in NY (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 2% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Greenvale School (math 88% / reading 88%, grade A+, #64 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 508 students, 0% FRL); Eastchester Middle School (math 56% / reading 76%, grade A-, #118 of 729 statewide, top 16%, 694 students, 0% FRL); Eastchester Senior High School (math 100% / reading 84%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 976 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.2% in Eastchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,671/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($250k/yr) (locally 560% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z0R2W25GCEZJ27
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29