3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,827 sqft ·
Built 1992
· Other
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$544
HOA
−$117
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$556
Net cashflow
$515/mo
Annual
$6,174/yr
Cap rate
9.82%
Cash-on-cash
12.60%
DSCR
1.56
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#313 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
River Ridge CUSD 210 (rural): math 32% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #205 of 620 in IL (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: River Ridge Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #336 of 2,056 statewide, top 18%, 220 students, 0% FRL); River Ridge Middle School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 105 students, 0% FRL); River Ridge High School (math 44% / reading 34%, grade F, #88 of 693 statewide, top 14%, 135 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Jo Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jo Daviess County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.3% in The Galena Territory — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z1HGX384FKDGWH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29