Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), TN 37115
$390,000B-
4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,612 sqft ·
Built 1983
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,833/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,905
Net cashflow
$8,233/mo
Annual
$98,794/yr
Cap rate
31.62%
Cash-on-cash
90.47%
DSCR
5.03
1% rule
3.55%
Cash to close
$109,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $390k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($99k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($14k rent vs $390k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $367k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Davidson County (urban): math 12% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #126 of 139 in TN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Stratton Elementary (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #896 of 952 statewide, top 96%, 474 students, 0% FRL); Hunters Lane High (math 0% / reading 8%, grade F, #321 of 332 statewide, top 97%, 1,466 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 330 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,873 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (4,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davidson County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 31.6% vs local median 2.9% in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,833/mo this rent would consume 304% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 2759% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z2R1VDFJV3ZP4F
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29