3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,066 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,818/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$375
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$-592/mo
Annual
$-7,101/yr
Cap rate
3.45%
Cash-on-cash
-10.14%
DSCR
0.55
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-592 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (41.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (27.3% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (41.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Center 58 (urban): math 12% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #301 of 324 in MO (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Indian Creek Elem. (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #993 of 1,115 statewide, top 90%, 274 students, 99% FRL); Center Sr. High (math 5% / reading 37%, grade F, #468 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 742 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z2Z9VGCMHZ1NC6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29