2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,092 sqft ·
Built 1928
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,321/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$-142/mo
Annual
$-1,701/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (30.4% below list).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lewis Elementary (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #604 of 1,115 statewide, top 54%, 425 students, 62% FRL); Excelsior Springs Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #306 of 391 statewide, top 80%, 576 students, 51% FRL); Excelsior Springs High (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 787 students, 37% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29