1116 Lake Maurer Rd · Excelsior Springs, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.4/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!
Key facts
- Unfinished basement
- Brand new flooring
- Bright open kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (12.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (30.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $133k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lewis Elementary (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #604 of 1,115 statewide, top 54%, 425 students, 62% FRL); Excelsior Springs Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #306 of 391 statewide, top 80%, 576 students, 51% FRL); Excelsior Springs High (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 787 students, 37% FRL).
- Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.06%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,287
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -23.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1121 Lake Maurer Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 21mo | $190,000 | $180 | 71 |
| 227 Central St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,174 (+8%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $145 | 65 |
| 119 East St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 968 (-11%) | 16mo | $215,000 | $222 | 63 |
| 1122 Lake Maurer Rd | 0.03mi | 2/2.0 | 1,198 (+10%) | 18mo | $184,500 | $154 | 63 |
| 1701 Birch St | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 | 1,112 (+2%) | 7mo | $299,900 | $270 | 59 |
| 906 Lake Maurer Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,236 (+13%) | 10mo | $99,900 | $81 | 47 |
| 1311 St Louis Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-8%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $149 | 38 |
| 719 Shirewood Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-6%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $156 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-39,452
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-45,691
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64024
- Home prices YoY
- -15.3%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,329 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$110 /mo · $1,324/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $-135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-28 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-189 | +10% $-243 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-240 | -5% $-188 | +0% $-135 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-30 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-40 | -0.5pp $-87 | base $-135 | +0.5pp $-185 | +1.0pp $-235 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 W Jesse James Rd Excelsior Springs, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $995 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1406 Magnolia W Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 23d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 139 S Maple St Excelsior Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 317 Woods St Excelsior Springs, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,350 | $1.53 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 410 N Titus Ave Excelsior Springs, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,476 | $1.62 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $189,900 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-19price $194,900 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!
-
2026-02-10price $214,900 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!
-
2026-01-08$229,900 Active 855-char remark
Show marketing remark (855 chars)
This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!
-
2012-12-10$49,900 76-char remark
Show marketing remark (76 chars)
Cute bungalow with hardwood floors under the carpet. 2 car attached carport.
-
2010-03-01historical
-
2009-09-11$69,900
-
2004-08-24soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,324 · $110/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,842 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$518/yr (+$43/mo · 39.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,949
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,324
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,276
- − Management
- −$1,276
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$5,038
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,209
- After-tax cash flow
- $-415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Excelsior Springs 40
- NCES district ID
- 2911650
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,747
- Composite
- 29.32/100
- National rank
- #6548
- State rank
- #225 of 324 in MO
Livability — Excelsior Springs
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #11166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Excelsior Springs, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- City population
- 15,574
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,574
- Household income
- $77,895
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.83%
- Current HPI
- 302.9184
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+171.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $189,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $194,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $214,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed $229,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-10 Listed $49,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-01 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-11 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,324 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…