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1116 Lake Maurer Rd
D Composite 40.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +9.4/30.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

1116 Lake Maurer Rd · Excelsior Springs, MO 64024
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1928 0.49 ac lot $174/sqft · 40% above area Est $247k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • Brand new flooring
  • Bright open kitchen

Tags

BRAND NEW FLOORINGBRIGHT OPEN KITCHENSCREENED IN FRONT PORCHEXPANSIVE SECLUDED LOTUNFINISHED BASEMENTEXTERIOR BARN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (12.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (30.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (30.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#228 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Excelsior Springs 40 (town): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #225 of 324 in MO (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lewis Elementary (math 35% / reading 41%, grade F, #604 of 1,115 statewide, top 54%, 425 students, 62% FRL); Excelsior Springs Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #306 of 391 statewide, top 80%, 576 students, 51% FRL); Excelsior Springs High (math 12% / reading 62%, grade F, #291 of 521 statewide, top 60%, 787 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $132,907 (30.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.06%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,287
List price
$189,900
Delta
-23.21%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1121 Lake Maurer Rd 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-3%) 21mo $190,000 $180 71
227 Central St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,174 (+8%) 2mo $170,000 $145 65
119 East St 0.09mi 2/1.0 968 (-11%) 16mo $215,000 $222 63
1122 Lake Maurer Rd 0.03mi 2/2.0 1,198 (+10%) 18mo $184,500 $154 63
1701 Birch St 0.65mi 2/1.5 1,112 (+2%) 7mo $299,900 $270 59
906 Lake Maurer Rd 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,236 (+13%) 10mo $99,900 $81 47
1311 St Louis Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,008 (-8%) 13mo $150,000 $149 38
719 Shirewood Rd 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,025 (-6%) 15mo $160,000 $156 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-39,452
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-45,691
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64024

Home prices YoY
-15.3%
Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,329 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,324/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$-135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,500
Max offer price $165,987
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-28 -5% $-82 +0% $-135 +5% $-189 +10% $-243
Rent -10% $-240 -5% $-188 +0% $-135 +5% $-83 +10% $-30
Rate -1.0pp $-40 -0.5pp $-87 base $-135 +0.5pp $-185 +1.0pp $-235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1800 W Jesse James Rd Excelsior Springs, MO 1.0 1.0 700 $995 $1.42 3d 1 1.24mi
1406 Magnolia W Excelsior Springs, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 23d 2 1.25mi
139 S Maple St Excelsior Springs, MO 3.0 2.0 1490 $1,650 $1.11 3d 1 1.28mi
317 Woods St Excelsior Springs, MO 2.0 1.0 884 $1,350 $1.53 3d 1 1.30mi
410 N Titus Ave Excelsior Springs, MO 3.0 2.0 910 $1,476 $1.62 45d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 146 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 145 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 144 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 143 DOM
  7. 2026-03-16
    price $189,900 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!

  8. 2026-02-19
    price $194,900 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!

  9. 2026-02-10
    price $214,900 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!

  10. 2026-01-08
    listed $229,900 Active 855-char remark
    Show marketing remark (855 chars)

    This freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom ranch home offers 1,092 sq ft of main-level living space with brand-new flooring and paint throughout. The simple, open layout flows seamlessly from the inviting living room to the dining area and a bright, open kitchen. Enjoy oversized rooms including a large laundry room and spacious bathroom, plus a relaxing screened-in front porch overlooking the expansive, secluded lot - perfect for morning coffee or an evening unwinding! The unfinished 900 sq ft basement provides incredible value-add potential. Outdoor lovers will appreciate the exterior barn with installed climbing wall (great for kids!), ample storage, and covered two car carport. Mature trees and open yard space creates a park-like setting while still be conveniently close to town! Don’t miss your opportunity - schedule a showing today!

  11. 2012-12-10
    listed $49,900 76-char remark
    Show marketing remark (76 chars)

    Cute bungalow with hardwood floors under the carpet. 2 car attached carport.

  12. 2010-03-01
    historical
  13. 2009-09-11
    listed $69,900
  14. 2004-08-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,324 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,842 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$518/yr (+$43/mo · 39.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,949
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$1,324
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$5,038
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,209
After-tax cash flow
$-415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Excelsior Springs 40
NCES district ID
2911650
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$52,747
Composite
29.32/100
National rank
#6548
State rank
#225 of 324 in MO

Livability — Excelsior Springs

Score
67/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#11166

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Excelsior Springs, MO
County
Clay County · 220,651 people
City population
15,574
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
15,574
Household income
$77,895
Rent vs Own
23.2% rent · 76.8% own
Severe rent burden
329.0

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
266,022 people
By 2030
280,057 · +5.3%
By 2040
306,153 · +15.1%
By 2050
328,630 · +23.5%
By 2075
375,182 · +41.0%
By 2100
392,861 · +47.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.83%
Current HPI
302.9184
Rent YoY
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+171.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $189,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $194,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $214,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $229,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-12-10 Listed $49,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-01 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-11 Listed $69,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-08-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,324 · +10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…