3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,920 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,956/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,112
Tax + insurance
−$338
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$95/mo
Annual
$1,141/yr
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.92%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$59,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $212k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (7.7% below list).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,885 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, health & safety D+.
Dearborn Heights School District #7 (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #466 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oakley W Best Middle School (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #415 of 493 statewide, top 85%, 586 students, 82% FRL); Annapolis High School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 713 statewide, top 83%, 748 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 60% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
15 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $119k; list at $212k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.5% in Dearborn Heights — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29