3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,240 sqft ·
Built 1982
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax + insurance
−$310
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$681
Net cashflow
$311/mo
Annual
$3,732/yr
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.60%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$103,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $370k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (12.4% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $324k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#15 in UT, #602 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A.
Provo District (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #44 of 80 in UT (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Spring Creek School (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #371 of 585 statewide, top 64%, 456 students, 60% FRL); Centennial Middle (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #66 of 138 statewide, top 49%, 1,094 students, 32% FRL); Timpview High (math 35% / reading 61%, grade D, #35 of 171 statewide, top 20%, 2,341 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,242/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1332% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z6CEHGFPEDADBF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29