8 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,630 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 186 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,568/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,141
Tax + insurance
−$998
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,169
Net cashflow
$259/mo
Annual
$3,110/yr
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.85%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$167,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $599k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $130/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $557k (7.0% below list).
It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($527k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $527k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary School (321 students, 71% FRL); Parrish Middle School (670 students, 75% FRL); North Salem High School (2,239 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,568/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering
Major: exterior paint
— Peeling paint
Major: flooring
— Worn-out carpet
Major: interior walls
— Painted walls with visible wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z6SV0J732BGEXG
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29