🏷️ Likely Rental
925 14th St NE · Salem, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$599,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
6th unit -2/1 w/ washer/dryer hook-up is currently unrentable. Materials on hand to complete reno. Investment opportunity w/room for rent upside w/ additional TLC. Cash/Hard money only. Great central location close to schools, shopping, State Offices, and downtown Salem. Long-term tenants. Please do not disturb residents.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Washer dryer hook up
- Central location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 4-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $599k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $130/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $557k (7.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $527k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#59 in OR, #2,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J (urban): math 34% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #103 of 183 in OR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,568/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 186 days — a 12% lower offer ($527k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 186 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.85%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $917,392
- List price
- $599,000
- Delta
- -34.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 757 Center St NE | 0.60mi | 7/5.0 (-1) | 4,300 (-7%) | 22mo | $575,000 | $134 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-96,791
- Equity at exit
- $89,313
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-125,749
- Equity at exit
- $51,791
Cash invested: $167,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97301
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 280
- Price-to-rent
- 17.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,568 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,141
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$749 /mo · $8,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$250
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,169
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $673 | -5% $466 | +0% $259 | +5% $52 | +10% $-155 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-181 | -5% $39 | +0% $259 | +5% $479 | +10% $699 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $561 | -0.5pp $412 | base $259 | +0.5pp $104 | +1.0pp $-54 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | — | $5,568 |
| #1 | 4 | — | $2,784 |
| #2 | 4 | — | $2,784 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,568 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $149,750
- Closing costs
- $17,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $599,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $599,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $599,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $599,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $599,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $599,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $599,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $599,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $599,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $599,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $599,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $599,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $599,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $599,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $599,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-03-16price $675,000 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
6th unit -2/1 w/ washer/dryer hook-up is currently unrentable. Materials on hand to complete reno. Investment opportunity w/room for rent upside w/ additional TLC. Cash/Hard money only. Great central location close to schools, shopping, State Offices, and downtown Salem. Long-term tenants. Please do not disturb residents.
-
2026-03-06price $725,000 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
6th unit -2/1 w/ washer/dryer hook-up is currently unrentable. Materials on hand to complete reno. Investment opportunity w/room for rent upside w/ additional TLC. Cash/Hard money only. Great central location close to schools, shopping, State Offices, and downtown Salem. Long-term tenants. Please do not disturb residents.
-
2025-12-17$750,000 Active 324-char remark
Show marketing remark (324 chars)
6th unit -2/1 w/ washer/dryer hook-up is currently unrentable. Materials on hand to complete reno. Investment opportunity w/room for rent upside w/ additional TLC. Cash/Hard money only. Great central location close to schools, shopping, State Offices, and downtown Salem. Long-term tenants. Please do not disturb residents.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $66,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,553
- − Property taxes
- −$8,985
- − Insurance
- −$2,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,345
- − Management
- −$5,345
- − Depreciation
- −$17,425
- Taxable loss
- −$6,833
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,640
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,750/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This multi-family property requires moderate renovations to its exterior and interior, with a focus on painting and flooring. It presents an investment opportunity with room for rent upside.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Severe weathering
- Major exterior paint — Peeling paint
- Major flooring — Worn-out carpet
- Major interior walls — Painted walls with visible wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace carpet — Improves living space and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Severe weathering | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · Peeling paint | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| flooring · Worn-out carpet | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| interior walls · Painted walls with visible wear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $60,000–200,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace carpet — Improves living space and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem-Keizer SD 24J
- NCES district ID
- 4110820
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,632
- Composite
- 37.16/100
- National rank
- #9017
- State rank
- #103 of 183 in OR
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #59
- US rank
- #2084
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, OR
- County
- Marion County · 258,219 people
- City population
- 193,601
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,574
- Household income
- $60,422
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3089.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 360,940 people
- By 2030
- 375,178 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 400,914 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 422,187 · +17.0%
- By 2075
- 460,305 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 464,025 · +28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 19% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.2pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -2.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.0 2020: D+1.1 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+3.5 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -548.17%
- Current HPI
- 335.8199
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.70%
- Metro
- Salem, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $675,000 WVMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $725,000 WVMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $750,000 WVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…