3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,001 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 267 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,234/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,571
Tax + insurance
−$499
HOA
−$79
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$469
Net cashflow
$-384/mo
Annual
$-4,607/yr
Cap rate
4.75%
Cash-on-cash
-5.49%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$83,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-384 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (18.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (25.4% below list).
It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#58 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Round Top Elementary (math 59% / reading 65%, grade B, #73 of 597 statewide, top 12%, 673 students, 42% FRL); Blythewood High (math 72% / reading 92%, grade A, #19 of 196 statewide, top 10%, 2,094 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+31 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 650 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z7D9F0FNJ46MPY
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29