2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,170 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,796/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$526
HOA
−$1,355
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$797
Net cashflow
$-167/mo
Annual
$-2,003/yr
Cap rate
5.81%
Cash-on-cash
-1.72%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.55%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-167 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (12.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $245k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Northmore Elementary School (math 34% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 628 students, 73% FRL); John F. Kennedy Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 826 students, 78% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $68/mo; HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 10789% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $74k; list at $245k implies a 229% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 5→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z7P62YBXEAWQJ4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29