4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,855 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,231/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$513
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$296/mo
Annual
$3,550/yr
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.95%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$27,412
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($677 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#607 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Marion Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #328 of 760 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marion Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #547 of 1,397 statewide, top 41%, 184 students, 80% FRL); Marion High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 235 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 57% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.0% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: roof
— No visible damage
Moderate: exterior siding
— Some discoloration
Major: flooring
— Worn hardwood floors
Minor: interior walls
— Painted walls, some wear
Minor: landscaping
— Some overgrown areas
Major: fencing
— Decaying fence
CashFlowRE · CFR-Z7QV755BR726NA
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29