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306 N Carland St
A- Composite 81.33
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$97,900

306 N Carland St · Marion, MI 49665
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,855 sqft · SingleFamily · 2 Days on market
Built 1900 Fair condition 8,712 sqft lot $53/sqft · 48% below area Est $189k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home has a bit of everything, including it's incredible location in the heart of downtown Marion. This beautiful historic home boasts a double corner lot, 4 bedrooms, large study, and a two-story barn to keep your toys in! The kitchen provides a convenient walk-in pantry, and there is plenty of room for entertaining with large dining/living room areas, and the spacious yard. Don't miss this opportunity to own a piece of history. This property is now active in an online auction. All offers must be submitted through the property's listing page on www. auction.com. The sale will be subject to a 5% buyer's premium pursuant to the Auction Terms and Conditions (minimums may apply). All auction bids will be processed subject to seller approval.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Screened in porch
  • Farmhouse style

Tags

FARMHOUSE STYLEORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED FRONT PORCHSCREENED IN PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.0% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#607 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #328 of 760 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Marion Elementary School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #547 of 1,397 statewide, top 41%, 184 students, 80% FRL); Marion High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 235 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 57% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($677 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Osceola County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $97,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.95%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$188,539
List price
$97,900
Delta
-47.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
419 5th St 0.14mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (+3%) 8mo $285,000 $150 74
409 Fifth St 0.12mi 4/2.5 1,806 (-3%) 18mo $215,000 $119 69
202 W Main St 0.30mi 4/2.5 1,902 (+2%) 9mo $218,000 $115 68
313 E Main St 0.13mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,694 (-9%) 5mo $229,900 $136 64
111 N Clark St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,824 (-2%) 19mo $195,000 $107 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.8%
Equity multiple
3.63×
Total profit
$72,179
Equity at exit
$88,196
10-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
8.21×
Total profit
$197,774
Equity at exit
$190,198

Cash invested: $27,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49665

Home prices YoY
11.3%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$513
Tax est. 1.5%
$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $856
Max offer price $97,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $330 +0% $296 +5% $262 +10% $228
Rent -10% $199 -5% $247 +0% $296 +5% $344 +10% $393
Rate -1.0pp $345 -0.5pp $321 base $296 +0.5pp $270 +1.0pp $245

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,475
Closing costs
$2,937
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $97,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    remarks 574-char remark
  3. 2026-08-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $97,900 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-08-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 292 DOM
  5. 2026-07-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 289 DOM
  6. 2026-07-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 288 DOM
  7. 2026-07-29
    days on market $99,900 Active 287 DOM
  8. 2026-07-27
    days on market $99,900 Active 285 DOM
  9. 2026-07-25
    days on market $99,900 Active 283 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $99,900 Active 282 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $99,900 Active 281 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $99,900 Active 280 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 279 DOM
  14. 2026-07-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 276 DOM
  15. 2026-07-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 274 DOM
  16. 2026-07-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 273 DOM
  17. 2026-07-14
    days on market $99,900 Active 272 DOM
  18. 2026-07-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 271 DOM
  19. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 270 DOM
  20. 2026-07-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 269 DOM
  21. 2026-07-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 268 DOM
  22. 2026-07-09
    pricedays on market $99,900 Active 267 DOM
  23. 2026-07-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 265 DOM
  24. 2026-07-06
    days on market $124,900 Active 264 DOM
  25. 2026-07-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 263 DOM
  26. 2026-07-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 262 DOM
  27. 2026-07-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 261 DOM
  28. 2026-07-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 260 DOM
  29. 2026-07-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 259 DOM
  30. 2026-06-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 258 DOM
  31. 2026-06-29
    days on market $124,900 Active 257 DOM
  32. 2026-06-28
    days on market $124,900 Active 256 DOM
  33. 2026-06-27
    days on market $124,900 Active 255 DOM
  34. 2026-06-26
    days on market $124,900 Active 253 DOM
  35. 2026-06-22
    days on market $124,900 Active 250 DOM
  36. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 249 DOM
  37. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 248 DOM
  38. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 246 DOM
  39. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 245 DOM
  40. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 244 DOM
  41. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 243 DOM
  42. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 241 DOM
  43. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 240 DOM
  44. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 237 DOM
  45. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 236 DOM
  46. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 235 DOM
  47. 2026-06-05
    days on market $124,900 Active 233 DOM
  48. 2026-06-04
    days on market $124,900 Active 231 DOM
  49. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 230 DOM
  50. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 229 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,770
− Mortgage interest
−$5,484
− Property taxes
−$1,468
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$2,848
Taxable income
$2,117
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$508
After-tax cash flow
$3,042/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $46,375–$83,475 screening

This historic home in downtown Marion requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Key areas for attention include the exterior siding, flooring, and landscaping. Painting the exterior and replacing worn flooring will significantly enhance its curb appeal and marketability.

Components & finishes AI

Roof asphalt shingle · good

Deferred maintenance Est. $500–$2,000 screening

  • Minor Roof (roof) — No visible signs of damage or wear on the roof.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor roof — No visible damage
  • Moderate exterior siding — Some discoloration
  • Major flooring — Worn hardwood floors
  • Minor interior walls — Painted walls, some wear
  • Minor landscaping — Some overgrown areas
  • Major fencing — Decaying fence

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Replace worn flooring — Improves living space
  • Both Trim overgrown areas — Enhances curb appeal and maintains property value
  • Resale Repair/replace fence — Improves property value and safety

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 36/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Marion Elementary School F MI #547/1,397 Nat'l #17,861/41,679 High Marion High School F MI #441/713 Nat'l #11,215/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622800
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 31.00%
Median HH income
$35,461
Composite
37.86/100
National rank
#8710
State rank
#328 of 760 in MI
D Composite livability gradescore 59/100

Livability — Marion

Score
59/100
State rank
#607
US rank
#20314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Marion, MI
County
Osceola · 21,724 people
Population (ZIP)
4,022
Household income
$51,125
Rent vs Own
13.0% rent · 87.0% own
Severe rent burden
2% of renters

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,724 people
By 2030
20,769 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,720 · -13.8%
By 2050
16,611 · -23.5%
By 2075
11,942 · -45.0%
By 2100
7,546 · -65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 11% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.2% · R 73.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+21.0 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+80.1% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-21 Price Changed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $134,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-20 Price Changed $134,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $144,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $144,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $120,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-22 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-22 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-22 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-07-20 Price Changed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Price Changed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-20 Price Changed $120,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-07-11 Price Changed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-11 Price Changed $134,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-11 Price Changed $134,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-06-29 Listed $145,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-06-29 Listed $145,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2023-06-29 Listed $145,900 REALCOMP
  • 2019-02-12 Sold (MLS) $74,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2019-02-12 Sold (MLS) $74,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $74,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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